Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 1.652090 1.885116 2.140894 2.442748 2.789599 3.176099 3.640033
2025-09-14 1.330400 1.638931 2.005551 2.474393 3.059642 3.768190 4.694284
2025-09-21 1.085620 1.425863 1.857991 2.449439 3.241667 4.271481 5.720296
2025-09-28 0.884860 1.227560 1.688350 2.357071 3.309310 4.626370 6.603193
2025-10-05 0.797174 1.161814 1.678022 2.468128 3.657873 5.399935 8.175863
2025-10-12 0.728268 1.109374 1.674462 2.582006 4.019714 6.237207 9.970194
2025-10-19 0.658795 1.044195 1.639968 2.639340 4.297180 6.978420 11.725302
2025-10-26 0.597927 0.982716 1.600668 2.679533 4.546986 7.702937 13.558620
2025-11-02 0.527081 0.894951 1.506355 2.613050 4.603963 8.105845 14.888128
2025-11-09 0.456117 0.797609 1.383093 2.478261 4.518956 8.242247 15.743372
2025-11-16 0.412172 0.741612 1.323725 2.447952 4.615957 8.715913 17.302430
2025-11-23 0.371663 0.686777 1.259504 2.399293 4.669497 9.110548 18.759632
2025-11-30 0.353784 0.672899 1.270943 2.500668 5.038062 10.189507 21.844223
2025-12-07 0.330174 0.645340 1.253336 2.542881 5.294608 11.082579 24.694944
2025-12-14 0.302227 0.605936 1.207903 2.522323 5.417154 11.712992 27.073471
2025-12-21 0.270323 0.554812 1.132931 2.429670 5.370448 11.968004 28.625630
2025-12-28 0.261466 0.550327 1.153334 2.545766 5.805411 13.369453 33.194568
2026-01-04 0.253235 0.546132 1.173680 2.664209 6.262939 14.893524 38.357458
2026-01-11 0.240778 0.531216 1.168835 2.723893 6.589169 16.151792 43.067184
2026-01-18 0.228033 0.514164 1.157152 2.765670 6.877318 17.359496 47.871392
2026-01-25 0.208860 0.480233 1.102999 2.697062 6.876227 17.824554 50.682584
2026-02-01 0.187098 0.437898 1.024531 2.557784 6.671444 17.719811 51.820961
2026-02-08 0.174040 0.415004 0.990053 2.526484 6.750522 18.398448 55.437127